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HALLADAY DESERVES THE CY YOUNG
A short statistical analysis showing Roy Halladay to be the more deserving pitcher for the 2008 Cy Young award.

Posted by Erik on Sep 28, 2008 16:08 (Sep 28, 2008 16:08)

Games Started
31 - Lee
33 - Halladay

+1 Doc

Complete Games
4 - Lee
9 - Halladay

+1 Doc

Innings Pitched
223.1 - Lee (7.21 innings/start)
246.0 - Halladay (7.45 innings/outing)

+1 Doc

Hits Allowed
213 - Lee (6.870 hits/game)
220 - Halladay (6.875 hits/game)

+1 Lee

Runs/Earned Runs/ERA
68/63/2.54 - Lee (2.03 earned runs/game)
88/76/2.78 - Halladay (2.30 earned runs/game)

+1 Lee

Unearned Runs
5 - Lee
12 - Halladay

BB:K Ratio
1:50 - Lee
1.52 - Halladay

+1 Doc

Strikeouts

170 - Lee
206 - Halladay

+1 Doc

K/9 innings

6.85 - Lee
7.94 - Halladay

+1 Doc

Opp. Average

.253 - Lee
.237 - Halladay

+1 Doc

Opp. OBP

.276 - Halladay
.285 - Lee

+1 Doc

#Pitches
3289 - Lee
3560 - Halladay

+1 Doc

WHIP
1.110 - Lee
1.053 - Halladay

+1 Doc

RECORD RELATED

Wins
The Blue Jays offense cost Halladay quite a few wins (as many as 5). One stretch Roy Halladay tossed four complete games and lost 3 of them.

Stat Padding
Lee is 5-0 against the hapless Royals, 2-0 against the Tigers despite a 5+ ERA and 2-0 against the Rangers despite a 6+ ERA (all sub .500 clubs by the way). The only unearned boost Halladay had handed to him was a single win against the Twins despite a 5+ ERA.

Starts vs .500 or better teams
16 - Lee
23 - Halladay

Wins vs. teams with a .500 record or better
9 - Lee
15 - Halladay

Run Support
You can pitch four straight complete games and lose 3 (Like Halladay did) because your offense simply does not score enough runs to win the game. That was the same old story for Roy Halladay for most of the 2008 season: he goes out and tosses a great game, but the offense sat back and game him zero support.

5.58 - Lee
4.61 - Halladay

Offensive Support
Lee: 0 runs scored - 1 game
Halladay: 0 runs scored - 3 games

Lee: 2 or fewer runs scored - 4 games
Halladay: 2 or fewer runs scored - 10 games

Blowouts (+9 runs)
Lee: 5
Halladay: 1

Total run support in all starts
171 - Lee
149 - Halladay (two more starts)

In individual stats, Cliff Lee has the slight edge in ERA and surrendered .005 fewer hits per game... thats about the only statistical advantage Lee has over Roy Halladay. In most other pitching categories, Halladay wins. The only edge Lee has over Halladay is in a category that is not totally decided by the pitcher, win-loss record. As I’ve shown above, Lee padded his record against weak teams and the greater offensive support further inflated his record.

Roy Halladay has simply been the better pitcher and deserves the Cy Young award over Cliff Lee. BUT Lets not forget the most important stat... we all know this will be the deciding factor:

Plays for an American team
1 - Lee
0 - Halladay

+50 Lee

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#2 04/10/2008 11:50 (Oct 4, 2008 11:50 )
Untouchable

would you mind if I posted this on my forums.

#1 28/09/2008 22:44 (Sep 28, 2008 22:44 )
iRON

Nicely done. According to this he definitely derevese the cy award.

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